Bettor Ed AI Assistant

• What is the Bettor Ed AI Assistant used for in sports betting?

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The Bettor Ed AI Assistant helps bettors and modelers choose the right probability distribution for sports betting data. It offers two modes: Chat mode (similar to ChatGPT) for answering questions and prompts, and Distribution Picker mode—a guided tool that helps identify the best statistical distribution (e.g., Normal, Poisson, Beta) based on how your data behaves. Instead of guessing, you answer a few plain-language questions, and the assistant recommends 1–3 suitable distributions for modeling.

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• How does the Bettor Ed AI Assistant pick a probability distribution?

 

The Distribution Picker uses a rules-based decision tree built on core statistical principles. It asks questions about your variable, such as:

• Type (counts vs. continuous values)

• Support (range of values like 0–1, ≥0, or any number)

• Shape (symmetric, skewed, heavy-tailed, zero-inflated)

• Context or story (e.g., successes out of trials, time until an event)

• Relationship between mean and variance

Based on these, it matches your variable to distributions like Poisson (count data), Beta (proportions), or Lognormal (skewed positive values).

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• Why is choosing the right distribution important for sports modeling?

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Selecting the correct probability distribution is critical for building accurate sports models. The Bettor Ed AI Assistant helps you:

• Simulate outcomes more accurately (e.g., season wins, game totals, player stats)

• Improve bet pricing by accounting for skew, variance, or fat tails

• Avoid common mistakes like assuming Normality when it's not appropriate

• Learn probability concepts faster with relatable analogies (coins, dice, time-until-event)

The assistant doesn’t run the stats—it gives you a smart shortlist of likely distributions to explore, saving time and improving accuracy.​